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Probability can supercharge your decisions

business man throwing red dice over an office desk.

This is a great TED talk from Liv Boeree, a professional poker player and champion. She shares three strategies she’s learned from the game and how we can apply them to real life. She talks about:

  • over-confidence bias and how we love to overplay the luck factor when we are winning
  • the power of expressing things as a numerical probability to overcome the vagueness of words like ‘probably’
  • using intuition wisely – isn’t as perfect as we might hope and is subject to many biases

I especially love the memes she shares at the end

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